No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $4.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 31°C 42% · 30°C 42% · 29°C 9% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 2? | 19°C 52% · 21°C 11% · 18°C 1% | $14k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 8°C 51% · 9°C 41% · 10°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 41% · 84-85°F 22% · 78-79°F 4% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 11°C 60% · 12°C 24% · 13°C 3% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 49% · 19°C 28% · 17°C 18% | $9k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hello.67 | No | $41.61 |
| 0x2bfd… | No | $15.88 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $13.50 |
| supermeow | No | $11.78 |
| twobonclay | No | $11.09 |
| ImBadAtMath | No | $8 |
| Bilberry | No | $7.75 |
| fregdf12f | No | $6.81 |
| cleaningLady | No | $6.63 |
| 0x3340… | No | $6.25 |
| rocky42023 | Yes | $6.13 |
| bryant666888 | No | $5.40 |
75 wallets held a position at the close. The 43 biggest winners took $206; the 32 biggest losers gave up $244. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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