No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢) and lost. Volume $3.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
zeroforecast took +$43 on No from 68¢; the biggest loser gave up $99.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 58% · 18°C 23% · 20°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 42% · 9°C 9% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 39% · 11°C 37% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| zeroforecast | No | $42.54 |
| televisionloud | No | $35.45 |
| Chacal123 | No | $30.26 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | No | $28.52 |
| mashuuuu | No | $23.05 |
| bingus007 | No | $14.08 |
| kaxel78 | No | $8.30 |
| BarSick47 | No | $7.80 |
| 0xfbd8… | No | $7.66 |
| primoS | No | $5.87 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $5.83 |
| ArnalWeather | No | $3.24 |
51 wallets held a position at the close. The 28 biggest winners took $238; the 23 biggest losers gave up $268. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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