No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $14k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 31°C 45% · 30°C 43% · 29°C 13% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 34% · 80-81°F 28% · 84-85°F 19% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 8°C 55% · 9°C 42% · 10°C 4% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 41% · 19°C 28% · 17°C 24% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 12°C 53% · 11°C 36% · 13°C 8% | $8k |
| What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño? | Over 2.5 73% · 2.25–2.5 24% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 2? | 64-65°F 24% · 68-69°F 13% | $7k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 26°C 69% · 25°C 28% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Traingman | No | $8.88 |
| BeginnersLuck2 | No | $5.26 |
| Edmit | No | $4.50 |
| m-syy | No | $2.97 |
| LaRRaNed | No | $2.88 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $2.05 |
| 0x2CA | No | $2.00 |
| 0xf6d0… | No | $1.45 |
| wtrader2580 | No | $1.25 |
| daegoth | No | $1.10 |
| underwaterdruid | No | $0.93 |
| 241532532432 | No | $0.87 |
22 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $38; the 5 biggest losers gave up $17. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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