Yes won. Smart money backed No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 71¢) and lost. Volume $9.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
138 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 1? | 12°C 56% · 11°C 47% · 13°C 4% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 1? | 13°C 51% · 14°C 48% · 12°C 3% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 1? | 11°C 96% · 12°C 4% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 1? | 8°C 78% · 9°C 36% · 10°C 2% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 1? | 60-61°F 65% · 62-63°F 31% · 64-65°F 5% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 1? | 60-61°F 54% · 62-63°F 42% · 58-59°F 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 1? | 82-83°F 34% · 86-87°F 11% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | Yes | $247.03 |
| messiasdoug | Yes | $157.50 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $108.89 |
| 0x8443… | Yes | $103.43 |
| deferredgratification | Yes | $85.91 |
| aze3 | Yes | $81.50 |
| Weather-Guru | Yes | $79.35 |
| TheWildProject | Yes | $69.08 |
| sleeper-service | Yes | $66.14 |
| hse100 | Yes | $52.72 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $52.37 |
| 0xedbe… | Yes | $51.71 |