No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $8.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xeb1b… took +$131 on No from 61¢; the biggest loser gave up $54.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 53% · 26°C 43% · 27°C 1% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 91% · 28°C 8% · 29°C 1% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 15? | 14°C 99% · 15°C 1% · 16°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 38% · 8°C 24% · 6°C 22% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 96% · 18°C 4% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $131.30 |
| 0xdd22… | No | $23.64 |
| televisionloud | No | $17.23 |
| blowdryer | No | $13.88 |
| 0xedbe… | No | $13.47 |
| pumpkinmasterz | No | $10.52 |
| HWReborn | No | $8.46 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | $8.11 |
| xayst | No | $7.38 |
| Windollar | No | $7.04 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | $7 |
| pangloz99 | No | $6.89 |
83 wallets held a position at the close. The 45 biggest winners took $335; the 38 biggest losers gave up $277. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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