No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢) and lost. Volume $44k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
248 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 30°C 45% · 31°C 41% · 29°C 10% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 61% · 8°C 37% · 10°C 4% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 28% · 78-79°F 12% · 84-85°F 12% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 2? | 34°C 52% · 35°C 26% · 33°C 20% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 12°C 47% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 13% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 38% · 19°C 34% · 17°C 14% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 2? | 13°C 57% · 14°C 36% · 12°C 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| shanze8 | No | $236.61 |
| yourthos | No | $78.09 |
| shanze8 | Yes | $74.99 |
| matida | No | $66.46 |
| asdfasdf111 | No | $42.51 |
| haassam | No | $29.10 |
| 0x.ALJJ | No | $28.58 |
| asplla | No | $27.46 |
| Dullah21 | Yes | $25.55 |
| smallyua | No | $21.84 |
| 0xfa8c… | No | $20.88 |
| asefdwqer | No | $20.10 |