No won. Smart money backed Yes (13 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $6.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x9506… took +$91 on No from 65¢; the biggest loser gave up $204.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? | 25°C 99% · 27°C 1% · 26°C 0% | $32k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 48-49°F 34% · 50-51°F 25% · 46-47°F 16% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Los Angeles on November 14? | 70-71°F 59% · 72-73°F 19% · 68-69°F 15% | $14k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? | 23°C 85% · 22°C 10% · 20°C 5% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 14? | 29°C 98% · 30°C 1% · 31°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 14? | 5°C 96% · 6°C 1% · 7°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 14? | 10°C 49% · 9°C 34% · 11°C 17% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 64-65°F 50% · 66-67°F 36% · 62-63°F 15% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x9506… | No | $90.56 |
| HellYeahTrader | No | $86.16 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | $44.04 |
| nefariouskermit | No | $43.13 |
| safsljkshgflksdjh | No | $29.22 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $18.37 |
| Tysha | No | $16.50 |
| 0x2bfd… | No | $12.87 |
| AvalancheFDN | No | $12.54 |
| xiaoxiaocangying | No | $11.53 |
| 1132 | No | $11.23 |
| 0x7d5a...49cd06 | No | $10.92 |
129 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $568; the 55 biggest losers gave up $694. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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