No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $7.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 30°C 55% · 31°C 38% · 29°C 6% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 60% · 8°C 39% · 10°C 4% | $12k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 25°C 98% · 26°C 0% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 52% · 8°C 41% · 6°C 6% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 45% · 78-79°F 21% · 76-77°F 8% | $10k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 41% · 84-85°F 31% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1941… | No | $33.10 |
| 0xeb1b… | No | $24.74 |
| Bakuskyvs | No | $11.78 |
| event007 | No | $9.91 |
| gaaaydoggggg | No | $5.38 |
| WrongBy1Degree | No | $2.64 |
| AuspiciousWolf | No | $2.34 |
| Sylar012 | No | $2.01 |
| Bliss99131 | No | $1.68 |
| gambuzino | No | $0.73 |
| 0x9b62… | No | $0.65 |
| 0xSPBB | No | $0.60 |
20 wallets held a position at the close. The 13 biggest winners took $96; the 7 biggest losers gave up $72. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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