Rogue Warriors won. Smart money backed Hero JiuJing (7 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $2.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 65% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.3M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $895k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $894k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $782k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $403k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $401k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $362k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 50% | $352k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hffhjzdg | Rogue Warriors | $103.05 |
| 0x99b1… | Rogue Warriors | $69.92 |
| wozhendeshiliufej | Rogue Warriors | $50.12 |
| THEBA0o0 | Rogue Warriors | $10.17 |
| Mariothu | Rogue Warriors | $5.37 |
| muyizhi | Rogue Warriors | $4.80 |
| dadasda | Rogue Warriors | $3.33 |
| 0x6d67… | Rogue Warriors | $3.05 |
| 0xc6f3… | Rogue Warriors | $2.88 |
| nicolitoso | Rogue Warriors | $2.35 |
| king-c | Rogue Warriors | $0.81 |
| ddp0618 | Hero JiuJing | −$100.00 |
19 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $256; the 8 biggest losers gave up $242. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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