LGD NBW won. Smart money backed Royal Never Give Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 75¢) and lost. Volume $3.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $508k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 69% · Arthur Rinderknech 32% | $480k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $465k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $344k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| qwerty1233 | LGD NBW | $39.75 |
| kaiming | LGD NBW | $13.09 |
| 0x7d03… | LGD NBW | $4.43 |
| ALLRZI | LGD NBW | $2.25 |
| canucks1 | Royal Never Give Up | −$39.75 |
| neverborn2013 | Royal Never Give Up | −$3.75 |
| foxer78 | Royal Never Give Up | −$2.26 |
| 0xwon | Royal Never Give Up | −$1.98 |
| madwar | Royal Never Give Up | −$1.20 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $60; the 5 biggest losers gave up $49. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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