Yes 100% · No 0%. Smart money leans No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 61¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
15 ranked wallets bought No at 61¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 15 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $642k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $146k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x7fe0…62c5 | Yes | 52 |
| 0xd6dfe2 | Yes | 38 |
| 0x5f6b…bb0f | Yes | 21 |
| 0x491e…59ad | Yes | 18 |
| Semiotic-Son | Yes | 15 |
| 0xd4f6…0144 | Yes | 14 |
| Aconserva | Yes | 10 |
| 0x316430 | Yes | 5 |
| 0x299a…e6d6 | Yes | 0 |
| artefakt | Yes | 0 |
| 0xe8c2…9eee | No | 2k |
| 0xe42b…8444 | No | 2k |
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