No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
19 ranked wallets bought Yes at 8¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 19 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $677k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $270k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $181k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $164k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $72k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dumbmoney187 | Yes | 204k |
| 0xf58c…d588 | Yes | 100k |
| 0x88ae…809a | Yes | 67k |
| Pajamapants | Yes | 66k |
| anoin123 | Yes | 54k |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes | 44k |
| 0x8aaa…51df | Yes | 41k |
| 0x7e80…c229 | Yes | 30k |
| Teosty | Yes | 30k |
| SoloLiquid | Yes | 18k |
| boos4 | No | 30 |
| Toblerox | No | 16 |
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