No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
10 ranked wallets bought Yes at 4¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 10 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $660k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 45% | $267k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 15% | $177k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $81k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GTFKY | Yes | 8k |
| 0x4c41…d286 | Yes | 7k |
| 0x4354…89a9 | Yes | 5k |
| AlphaOracl3 | Yes | 3k |
| 0x3ecf…c870 | Yes | 3k |
| 0x42ed0d | Yes | 3k |
| NOTHINGSEVERFRICKINFAIRONHERE | Yes | 3k |
| Jimmiux | Yes | 3k |
| Hghhhuuuufcf | Yes | 2k |
| LukeDelta | Yes | 2k |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 0 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0 |
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