Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 85¢) and lost. Volume $61k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
yuhyuhyuhy352352 took +$2.6k on Yes from 9¢; the biggest loser gave up $584.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $620k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $79k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $69k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes | $3k |
| pabloyer | Yes | $162.72 |
| BillGross | Yes | $154.92 |
| ChikaBoomPow | Yes | $105.97 |
| NOIZYUV | Yes | $89.74 |
| Latt | Yes | $87.59 |
| 0xbb42… | Yes | $78.04 |
| EasyGoingA | Yes | $71 |
| fedupferret | Yes | $48.60 |
| Cronus66 | Yes | $47 |
| JMSHZMBR988115 | Yes | $44.92 |
| TonyEsse | Yes | $39.89 |
145 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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