Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 79¢) and lost. Volume $90k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
yenky took +$730 on Yes from 84¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.8k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $620k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $79k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $69k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| yenky | Yes | $730.46 |
| fedupferret | Yes | $572.60 |
| shmeba | Yes | $444.81 |
| ToTheWindow | Yes | $340.55 |
| Nbest55 | Yes | $298.41 |
| Metapoli | Yes | $274.31 |
| GamerBolo | Yes | $162.90 |
| EasyGoingA | Yes | $156.54 |
| Shakeddhalom | Yes | $148.90 |
| qaz1234567890 | Yes | $123.67 |
| Twin-Cholesterol | Yes | $114.40 |
| 0x07f2… | Yes | $112.80 |
245 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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