No won. Volume $56k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
ToTheWindow took +$441 on Yes from 58¢; the biggest loser gave up $705.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $624k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 81% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $85k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $70k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ToTheWindow | Yes | $440.83 |
| Nbest55 | Yes | $345.02 |
| Ofek4643 | No | $188.89 |
| ragutwo | No | $122.98 |
| Yishtabach-Shemo | No | $113.33 |
| iwillfknmakeitt | No | $109.12 |
| KenneyG | No | $101.32 |
| SunFiyre | No | $84.70 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | $81.05 |
| ToTheWindow | No | $79.97 |
| KairoNexus | No | $75.95 |
| ravie | No | $66.94 |
250 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.6k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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