Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $87k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $288k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $191k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $156k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $116k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $109k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 73% | $106k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $93k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $84k |
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