No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $16k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
LJa7io23MCv954j took +$101 on No from 90¢; the biggest loser gave up $134.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $644k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $153k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $85k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LJa7io23MCv954j | No | $101.16 |
| nellojello | No | $63.39 |
| qaz1234567890 | No | $61.64 |
| jklsjdwoqejasdf | No | $29.64 |
| melonmanm | No | $26.77 |
| Raketa09 | No | $16.25 |
| 0x45d3… | No | $15.60 |
| 0x89ad… | No | $13.60 |
| generalVR | No | $6 |
| Talophex | No | $5.50 |
| Johnny-Worker | No | $4.01 |
| dodgerlive | No | $3.91 |
38 wallets held a position at the close. The 19 biggest winners took $359; the 19 biggest losers gave up $340. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.