No won. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
shmeba took +$159 on No from 28¢; the biggest loser gave up $112.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $644k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $153k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $85k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| shmeba | No | $159.14 |
| 0x5144… | No | $104.06 |
| winexecutescale | No | $38.77 |
| PhysGuy | No | $28.59 |
| 0x45d3… | No | $14 |
| ChickenBanana-746 | No | $9.40 |
| BLG.viper | No | $1.10 |
| PhysGuy | Yes | −$112.28 |
| ViataBateFilmul | Yes | −$104.16 |
| 0xc713… | Yes | −$17.26 |
| winexecutescale | Yes | −$2.21 |
| 0x0c2c… | Yes | −$2.00 |
13 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $355; the 6 biggest losers gave up $239. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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