No won. Volume $14k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Johnny-Worker took +$14 on No from 99¢; the biggest loser gave up $54.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $644k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $153k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $85k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Johnny-Worker | No | $14.12 |
| qaz1234567890 | No | $11.23 |
| melonmanm | No | $6.97 |
| 0x45d3… | No | $4.75 |
| ChickenBanana-746 | No | $4.39 |
| theta-thunberg | No | $3.35 |
| whckj | No | $0.90 |
| law3 | No | $0.70 |
| 0x0c2c… | No | $0.67 |
| trade-bet | Yes | −$53.52 |
| 0x7678… | Yes | −$16.35 |
| Vondik | Yes | −$16.00 |
25 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $47; the 16 biggest losers gave up $145. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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