No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
11 ranked wallets bought Yes at 22¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 11 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $638k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $70k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xd550…e673 | Yes | 1k |
| OMRYNIDAM | Yes | 998 |
| 0xd512…79b3 | Yes | 982 |
| Shmuela | Yes | 541 |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | 537 |
| 0xad31…3da4 | Yes | 530 |
| Dr.Hamad | Yes | 517 |
| Porx | Yes | 500 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 416 |
| 0xd12ad3 | Yes | 409 |
| 0xd282e9 | No | 29 |
| JustinMurray8742 | No | 9 |
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