No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 69¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
13 ranked wallets bought Yes at 69¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 13 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $638k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 15% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $70k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x92c2…0e25 | Yes | 2k |
| Kravada | Yes | 1k |
| 999851 | Yes | 1k |
| MollyParkets | Yes | 774 |
| 0x2d35…7e6e | Yes | 762 |
| mt1980 | Yes | 645 |
| 0x485a…21cb | Yes | 643 |
| Mahurm | Yes | 590 |
| Lingjing | Yes | 575 |
| starbuck02 | Yes | 500 |
| 0x1175…f4b6 | No | 38 |
| 0x3644…2dba | No | 30 |
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