Yes 100% · No 0%. Smart money leans No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
15 ranked wallets bought No at 51¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 15 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $86k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shagol | Yes | 23 |
| 0xd868…34b8 | Yes | 21 |
| 0xf905…81f2 | Yes | 20 |
| gagashka84 | Yes | 12 |
| 0x50ba0c | Yes | 10 |
| 0x9fcd93 | Yes | 8 |
| 0x60a3f0 | Yes | 4 |
| cookedlvlmax | Yes | 2 |
| JohnJJJ | Yes | 1 |
| 20260405 | Yes | 1 |
| Peaslyx | No | 22k |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | No | 20k |
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