0xc3db6a07351313cc684759dee1722d2bb1e90f98
0xc3db…0f98 on Polymarket: $107k total P&L, 41% win rate, 437 markets traded, $3.5M volume. Ranked #332 in Politics.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | $22k | 87¢ | 92¢ | $1k |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | $16k | 66¢ | 95¢ | $5k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | $10k | 35¢ | 63¢ | $3k |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | $7k | 75¢ | 79¢ | $281.48 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | $6k | 80¢ | 94¢ | $749.92 |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | $4k | 96¢ | 100¢ | $161.93 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | $2k | 71¢ | 97¢ | $620.02 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | $11k | 20¢ | 14¢ | −$611.10 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | $3k | 40¢ | 44¢ | $116.66 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | $7k | 22¢ | 14¢ | −$495.73 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | $9k | 26¢ | 10¢ | −$2k |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | $3k | 20¢ | 27¢ | $225.00 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $826k | 3.6% | 49.7% | $30.5M |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $657k | 7.8% | 42.4% | $11.1M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| Lucerys | $458k | $430k | 2.9% | 58.6% | $9.5M |
| aHjCz | $627k | $352k | 3.2% | 44.2% | $18.6M |
| defillama7 | $648k | $321k | 9.8% | 66.2% | $5.8M |