Theodore Dean won. Smart money backed Xavier Massotte (1 ranked wallet, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $260. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Glenn Youngkin 1% | $805k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $772k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 69% · Luca Van Assche 31% | $465k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $398k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $398k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $361k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| eFMBS | Theodore Dean | $13.42 |
| 0x9be8… | Theodore Dean | $5.20 |
| castorcurse | Theodore Dean | $3.90 |
| Lopestheve | Theodore Dean | $3.78 |
| Valueboss | Theodore Dean | $2.97 |
| arbtemis | Theodore Dean | $1.12 |
| signalso | Theodore Dean | $0.67 |
| AntiVaxxer | Theodore Dean | $0.65 |
| 0x6318… | Xavier Massotte | −$10.00 |
| khojw | Xavier Massotte | −$5.20 |
| 0x9be8… | Xavier Massotte | −$3.87 |
| yifen9 | Xavier Massotte | −$3.54 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $32; the 4 biggest losers gave up $23. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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