Noemi Basiletti won. Smart money backed Anna-Lena Friedsam (1 ranked wallet, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $4.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 35% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $13.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 22% | $2.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.4M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | FURIA 99% · Natus Vincere 1% | $2.0M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $899k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| babuinbob | Noemi Basiletti | $53.56 |
| 0xadbf… | Noemi Basiletti | $27.43 |
| s3mXdisl38sm7shKskwM | Noemi Basiletti | $11.80 |
| phallusse | Noemi Basiletti | $11.55 |
| zoroelnino | Noemi Basiletti | $10.47 |
| noclevername | Noemi Basiletti | $7.67 |
| 0x6027… | Noemi Basiletti | $7.07 |
| User7429 | Noemi Basiletti | $5.14 |
| gefficek | Noemi Basiletti | $4.54 |
| pcjones | Noemi Basiletti | $4.53 |
| 0x1fe8… | Noemi Basiletti | $4.45 |
| 0xb937… | Noemi Basiletti | $4.25 |
30 wallets held a position at the close. The 14 biggest winners took $157; the 16 biggest losers gave up $266. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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