Oscar Jose Gutierrez won. Smart money backed Tomas Martinez (5 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢) and lost. Volume $4.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $977k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 22% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $931k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $689k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 4% · Antonia Ruzic 96% | $500k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $352k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| irinanik | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $181.05 |
| 0x6b25… | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $118.26 |
| MatrixAttack | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $68.89 |
| barkov1 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $41.14 |
| nik112233 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $28.25 |
| elenrom | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $28.25 |
| 0x9be8… | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $4.86 |
| pcjones | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $4.16 |
| VlokaFiel | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $2.19 |
| 0xc07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | $1.71 |
| clownly | Tomas Martinez | −$209.97 |
| 0xc07 | Tomas Martinez | −$101 |
21 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $479; the 11 biggest losers gave up $478. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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