Cristina Diaz Adrover won. Smart money backed Juliette Mazzoni (2 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $10k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 22% | $2.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $880k |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Legacy 23% · B8 78% | $863k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xaa08… | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $776.81 |
| VTL777 | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $230.11 |
| berlinskies | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $18.28 |
| big-bird1 | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $8.95 |
| 0xe37f… | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $8.89 |
| John.I.Tzimiskes | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $6.45 |
| iloveu4ever | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $4.09 |
| lgSosa | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $3.14 |
| wall3r | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $1.56 |
| 0x77d6… | Cristina Diaz Adrover | $0.54 |
| 0xc07 | Juliette Mazzoni | −$59.43 |
| 0xc45f… | Juliette Mazzoni | −$28.50 |
20 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 10 biggest losers gave up $161. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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