Daniil Sarksian won. Smart money backed Boxiong Zhang (3 ranked wallets, average entry 67¢) and lost. Volume $1.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 19% · Joe Kent 1% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $983k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $887k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $575k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $418k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $402k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 52% · No 49% | $356k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $333k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x58e8… | Daniil Sarksian | $178.80 |
| kitopesivan | Daniil Sarksian | $114.17 |
| ds.skat | Daniil Sarksian | $56.37 |
| MoreThenYou | Daniil Sarksian | $55.78 |
| 0xdbdd… | Daniil Sarksian | $55.60 |
| NeedForDead | Daniil Sarksian | $42.40 |
| assasin5002 | Daniil Sarksian | $33.66 |
| athenacapital | Daniil Sarksian | $32.19 |
| 0x87f7… | Daniil Sarksian | $31.37 |
| ArseniyKuzzbas | Daniil Sarksian | $30.75 |
| sara341 | Daniil Sarksian | $30.24 |
| 0xbfd7… | Daniil Sarksian | $21.07 |
39 wallets held a position at the close. The 22 biggest winners took $745; the 17 biggest losers gave up $271. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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