Katie Swan won. Smart money backed Han Shi (1 ranked wallet, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $24k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
alpheclabs took +$446 on Katie Swan from 65¢; the biggest loser gave up $668.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.4M |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC) 36% · Tottenham Hotspur FC 35% · Leeds United FC 30% | $840k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $776k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $696k |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 20% · Gen.G 80% | $671k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 53% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $602k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 19% · Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 2% | $530k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $493k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| alpheclabs | Katie Swan | $446.13 |
| 0x58e8… | Katie Swan | $287.44 |
| 0x7462… | Katie Swan | $260.87 |
| DCAAA | Katie Swan | $178.87 |
| avotrade | Katie Swan | $141.65 |
| NotJump | Katie Swan | $136.34 |
| 0x5317… | Katie Swan | $131.27 |
| timurdrevoz | Katie Swan | $91.58 |
| PRYANYA31 | Katie Swan | $89.91 |
| 0x280f… | Han Shi | $88.04 |
| rambo2233 | Katie Swan | $73.15 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Katie Swan | $68.29 |
89 wallets held a position at the close. The 56 biggest winners took $2.8k; the 33 biggest losers gave up $2.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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