Boxiong Zhang won. Smart money backed Linang Xiao (1 ranked wallet, average entry 98¢) and lost. Volume $582. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Glenn Youngkin 1% | $805k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $772k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 69% · Luca Van Assche 31% | $465k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $398k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $398k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $361k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| eFMBS | Boxiong Zhang | $53.87 |
| clownly | Boxiong Zhang | $43.50 |
| 0x6318… | Boxiong Zhang | $25.25 |
| ds.skat | Boxiong Zhang | $19.78 |
| 0xa789… | Boxiong Zhang | $12.88 |
| JuliiaDiamond | Boxiong Zhang | $8.17 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Boxiong Zhang | $5.38 |
| grotevis | Linang Xiao | −$49.89 |
| therealdeal2 | Linang Xiao | −$48.17 |
| ET65 | Linang Xiao | −$43.50 |
| 0x6b25… | Linang Xiao | −$41.33 |
| Crovax | Linang Xiao | −$34.16 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $169; the 10 biggest losers gave up $257. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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