Yes 98% · No 2%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢). Volume $1.5k, liquidity $208. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $408k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $296k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $222k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $197k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $182k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $153k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $142k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kurumi.chan. | Yes | 2k |
| CalculatedRisk08 | Yes | 129 |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 94 |
| rrqqzq | Yes | 80 |
| vozomnil | Yes | 80 |
| goodman-1 | Yes | 60 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 28 |
| etghzcer | Yes | 26 |
| 0xd0d90c | Yes | 25 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 20 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| 0x279c…2b82 | No | 180 |
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