Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $122k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
probability1 took +$186 on Yes from 98¢; the biggest loser gave up $200.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $76k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes 87% · No 13% | $37k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $24k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $21k |
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $12k |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on November 13? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes 30% · No 70% | $9k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 80% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| probability1 | Yes | $186.28 |
| rgrdddv | Yes | $170.06 |
| luck00004 | Yes | $158.38 |
| 0xbada… | Yes | $57.61 |
| PerformSleepState | Yes | $50.02 |
| Periodic-Checkroom | Yes | $44.40 |
| pizdi.bolyu | Yes | $32.00 |
| samoy | No | $31.83 |
| kotyakayebaka | Yes | $30.90 |
| LikelyToo | Yes | $24.05 |
| Diwisata | Yes | $23.23 |
| awyeenchui | Yes | $20.80 |
148 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.0k; the 56 biggest losers gave up $721. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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