Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $190k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
probability1 took +$1.5k on Yes from 96¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.4k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $76k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $37k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $24k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $21k |
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $12k |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on November 13? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes 30% · No 70% | $9k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 81% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| probability1 | Yes | $1k |
| owensiben | Yes | $1k |
| pp101 | Yes | $319.80 |
| Moonshot1019 | Yes | $234.70 |
| skakkskk | Yes | $182.84 |
| pizdi.bolyu | Yes | $181.84 |
| kotyakayebaka | Yes | $113.94 |
| gwagwa | Yes | $104.64 |
| gewff2 | Yes | $96.13 |
| fuadpryahoocom | Yes | $81.26 |
| alijbee | Yes | $76.69 |
| MelissaRenfro | Yes | $72.57 |
182 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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