Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $485. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 20% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $1.3M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.2M |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | TheMongolz 22% · FURIA 79% | $680k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $640k |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 80% · AEK 8% | $632k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 13% | $595k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $501k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| chessplayer | Yes | $34.03 |
| driphop | Yes | $26.50 |
| 0x124e… | Yes | $21.44 |
| 0x3b79… | Yes | $7.51 |
| atavistic | Yes | $1.11 |
| Allea.Iacta.Est | Yes | $0.77 |
| tradeo39 | No | −$8.32 |
| qqqppp-l1 | No | −$1 |
8 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $91; the 2 biggest losers gave up $9. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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