Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $1.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 34% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $939k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $638k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 29% · Natus Vincere 71% | $508k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $480k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $293k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $240k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x124e… | Yes | $140.74 |
| ddd141 | Yes | $53 |
| 0x3b79… | Yes | $33.36 |
| 0x51ae… | Yes | $32.50 |
| Carabao | Yes | $19.50 |
| silverrr | Yes | $9.78 |
| dumawlf | Yes | $9.75 |
| uprun | Yes | $6.50 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | $4.55 |
| myfingernails | Yes | $3.60 |
| Allea.Iacta.Est | Yes | $1.56 |
| 0xa2b6… | Yes | $1 |
23 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $316; the 11 biggest losers gave up $311. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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