Yes 100% · No 0%. Smart money leans No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
17 ranked wallets bought No at 28¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 17 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x8193…a0d7 | Yes | 114 |
| 0x526a2a | Yes | 50 |
| 0x7a0c…fc66 | Yes | 41 |
| StarfieldMan72 | Yes | 33 |
| 0x46ce…75de | Yes | 19 |
| 0xa16715 | Yes | 17 |
| Sisonpyh | Yes | 13 |
| uve-150 | Yes | 11 |
| 0x438f…93a2 | Yes | 10 |
| 0x44a92a | Yes | 6 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 65k |
| frenchlaundry | No | 15k |
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