What are the odds for “Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?” on Polymarket?

Yes 100% · No 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?

Yes 100% · No 0%. Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Yes
100%
No
0%
Volume
$0
Liquidity
—

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

1 wallets · 19 known shares

Chefengsharp
entry 10¢ · all-time +$1.9k · win 28%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?” on Polymarket?: Yes 100% · No 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?

live

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No19100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$227k	$80k	-6.9%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$153k	$94k	4.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$130k	$649k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$331k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$93k	$46k	1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$83k	$324k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 74%	$77k	$91k	-4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$183k	-0.2%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
MAXAMED.9999	Yes	1	89¢	$1.00	−$16.26
0x613b…9bf0	No	1k	4¢	$45.97	−$1k
0x38cd…e0c9	No	1k	23¢	$248.10	−$248.10
Catumi	No	1k	2¢	$25.00	−$797.94
kkdays	No	548	10¢	$57.46	$166.83
hhhhhhhh	No	514	18¢	$93.94	−$93.94
MrBlackistone	No	485	10¢	$50.00	−$354.04
0x4714…72b6	No	426	82¢	$350.67	−$128.29
yair11	No	379	3¢	$12.00	−$26.26
dddkzd	No	371	21¢	$79.00	$30.44
gigi1234	No	344	2¢	$6	−$131.39

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
2Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$16k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k