Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢) and lost. Volume $1.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Glenn Youngkin 1% | $805k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $772k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 69% · Luca Van Assche 31% | $465k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $398k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $398k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $361k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0561 | Yes | $72.50 |
| ImJustSmarter | Yes | $35.97 |
| KimchiCapital | Yes | $15.86 |
| pykue | Yes | $4.07 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | $4.02 |
| obliq | Yes | $3.90 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | $2 |
| annont | Yes | $1.40 |
| wfsxfwetrdsf | No | −$7.14 |
| 0x4629… | No | −$6 |
| annont | No | −$4.40 |
| pppnn | No | −$1.60 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $140; the 4 biggest losers gave up $19. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.