What are the odds for “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?

No 85% · Yes 16%, on $3.5M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?”?

Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 60¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 85% · Yes 16%. Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 60¢). Volume $3.5M, liquidity $49k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
85%
Yes
16%
Volume
$3.5M
Liquidity
$49k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

7 wallets · 11,272 known shares

neetbetswhale
entry 22¢ · P&L $67k · win 78%
Optimus-whale
entry 30¢ · P&L $124k · win 62%
Sylvester.the.Cat
entry 24¢ · P&L $26k · win 67%
Get10
entry 19¢ · P&L -$21k · win 24%
0xzipper
entry 26¢ · P&L $37k · win 84%
101456
entry — · P&L $22k · win 54%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 85% · Yes 16%, on $3.5M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?”?: Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 60¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

live

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

15.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 42% · Gadi Eizenkot 41% · Naftali Bennett 6%	$12.1M	$1.2M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$326k	$171k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$176k	$130k
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$98k	$47k
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$98k	$33k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$80k	$306k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction