0x720bd69011aa5a9ef7846e88648218a7b33d37f6
Rafael88 on Polymarket: $47k total P&L, 57% win rate, 202 markets traded, $1.9M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | $29k | 91¢ | 91¢ | −$71.91 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | $23k | 84¢ | 84¢ | −$84.61 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | $11k | 97¢ | 95¢ | −$220.45 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | $2k | 84¢ | 84¢ | −$6.16 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $1k | 79¢ | 82¢ | $44.96 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $1k | 87¢ | 86¢ | −$15.94 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | $708.99 | 92¢ | 92¢ | −$3.54 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | $905.93 | 64¢ | 63¢ | −$6.00 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | $627 | 78¢ | 79¢ | $3.13 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $826k | 3.5% | 49.7% | $30.5M |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $657k | 7.8% | 42.4% | $11.1M |
| aHjCz | $627k | $571k | 2.9% | 44.2% | $18.4M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| e46m3 | $1.3M | $515k | 4.3% | 60.8% | $22.2M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| defillama7 | $648k | $321k | 9.8% | 66.2% | $5.8M |