Rockets won. Smart money backed Warriors (12 ranked wallets, average entry 56¢) and lost. Volume $2.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $894k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $652k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 30% · Zeynep Sonmez 71% | $361k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $355k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| GP18 | Rockets | $14k |
| MadMed | Rockets | $13k |
| shady | Rockets | $11k |
| 0x19c4… | Rockets | $9k |
| statwC00KS | Rockets | $7k |
| charlieu | Rockets | $6k |
| Dhdhsjsj | Rockets | $5k |
| hfg43 | Rockets | $5k |
| gd3255 | Rockets | $5k |
| ht433d | Rockets | $5k |
| Neevi | Rockets | $5k |
| 4-seas | Rockets | $4k |
2,610 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $144k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $223k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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