Thunder won. Smart money backed Suns (17 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $4.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 31% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $714k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 70% · Luca Van Assche 30% | $538k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $399k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $370k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $360k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| vbv19 | Thunder | $12k |
| mvpchipper | Thunder | $3k |
| Charles0987 | Thunder | $2k |
| CemeterySun | Thunder | $1k |
| maple2333 | Thunder | $1k |
| islav900 | Thunder | $1k |
| ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | Thunder | $1k |
| hohoit | Thunder | $1k |
| Bienville | Thunder | $1k |
| ImSmart | Thunder | $1k |
| aiweatherman | Thunder | $909.70 |
| prezzel | Thunder | $800 |
1,869 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $44k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $51k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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