Yes won. Volume $19k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $24k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 64% · November 2–November 8 14% · November 16–November 22 13% | $24k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $13k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 38% · November 11 20% · November 9 7% | $12k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 79% · No 22% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 8% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| rewardbots | Yes | $1k |
| KimchiCapital | Yes | $351.71 |
| molodoyy | Yes | $305.98 |
| 0x28b2… | Yes | $102 |
| dgfd76 | Yes | $74.81 |
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | $53.68 |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu | Yes | $32.79 |
| SlayerH | Yes | $20 |
| techhawk | Yes | $16.14 |
| mamofaker24 | Yes | $15.71 |
| Elton123 | Yes | $14.76 |
| claudemole | Yes | $14.29 |
49 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 20 biggest losers gave up $946. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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