Yes won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 60¢) and won. Volume $26k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 73% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 6% | $28k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $21k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 62% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 12% | $9k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 71% · No 30% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Waterfall | Yes | $1k |
| kamikazeman | Yes | $904.42 |
| rsam5990 | Yes | $648.31 |
| 0x0e17… | Yes | $452.63 |
| Hajimidingdongji | Yes | $388.66 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | $251.07 |
| BlindestMonk | Yes | $193.79 |
| goat211 | Yes | $153.60 |
| nehocsrizyvqevuidiavaoca | Yes | $123.73 |
| K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE | Yes | $101.40 |
| 0x2091… | Yes | $73.50 |
| conherence | Yes | $68.25 |
159 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.8k. The ranked wallets were on the winning side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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