Yes won. Volume $278k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
213 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.1k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $129k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1% | $26k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 73% · 1 (25 bps) 28% | $21k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 89% · 25 bps decrease 10% | $10k |
| Bank of Canada Decision in December? | No Change 62% · 25 bps increase 39% | $10k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 94% · No change 6% | $9k |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? | 25 bps increase 40% · 25 bps decrease 16% | $7k |
| Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| perfectnostalgia | Yes | $3k |
| firegold | Yes | $2k |
| Spiderman161716 | Yes | $2k |
| Drunken-Mentat | Yes | $654.40 |
| podairpod | Yes | $254.31 |
| taut-dogwood | Yes | $209.57 |
| nicdan | Yes | $138.12 |
| Jjjh77660 | Yes | $138.09 |
| chriszyy3 | Yes | $116.29 |
| frankxyz | Yes | $78.63 |
| QUUN | No | $76.68 |
| lihood91211 | Yes | $73.47 |