Brown won. Smart money backed Husted (4 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $4.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 54% · Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF) 31% · AEK 11% | $6.3M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 46% · Fenerbahçe SK 14% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $806k |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 77% · SK Slavia Praha 8% | $806k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| TheBigMuscle | Brown | $52.34 |
| 28u | Husted | $47.79 |
| fastandfudurious | Brown | $8.55 |
| rubby1337 | Brown | $6.41 |
| obliq | Brown | $2.44 |
| T22222222222 | Brown | $2 |
| D222222222 | Brown | $2 |
| BetterFish | Brown | $1.92 |
| maomao228 | Brown | $1.79 |
| aliiz | Husted | −$3.92 |
| obpq | Husted | −$3 |
| prediction231 | Husted | −$2.40 |
15 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $125; the 6 biggest losers gave up $13. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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