No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
btcabal took +$44 on No from 89¢; the biggest loser gave up $16.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $40k |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $35k |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $24k |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $23k |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $23k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $21k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $18k |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| btcabal | No | $43.99 |
| ..11.. | No | $32.13 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | $30 |
| 0xce83… | No | $24.72 |
| bulbz | No | $24.20 |
| faith1 | No | $23.29 |
| olekpreff | No | $22 |
| annont | No | $15.74 |
| bewb | No | $13.40 |
| HHR-TEST1 | No | $13 |
| Kikimuko | No | $12.32 |
| gogler | No | $11.98 |
52 wallets held a position at the close. The 32 biggest winners took $352; the 20 biggest losers gave up $153. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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