Australia won. Smart money backed United Kingdom (2 ranked wallets, average entry 83¢) and lost. Volume $2.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 20% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.4M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Nikki Haley 1% · Rick Scott 0% | $940k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 82% | $736k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $655k |
| Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés | Draw (Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés) 94% · Sevilla FC 3% · Deportivo Alavés 2% | $495k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 32% | $483k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $439k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| xerrenvs | Australia | $122.39 |
| placeb0 | Australia | $27.74 |
| Arpadex | Australia | $26.55 |
| BlackJacks | Australia | $10.00 |
| vardaman-bundren | Australia | $6.12 |
| UltraLucky888 | Australia | $4.20 |
| ChukuleTerak | Australia | $1.59 |
| foodcritic1 | United Kingdom | −$186.66 |
| asdfasdf333 | United Kingdom | −$6.60 |
| jwocky | United Kingdom | −$4.15 |
| BlackJacks | United Kingdom | −$3 |
| 0x546a… | United Kingdom | −$1.80 |
15 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $199; the 8 biggest losers gave up $205. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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