OU Gaming won. Smart money backed Weibo Gaming (1 ranked wallet, average entry 66¢) and lost. Volume $3.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $854k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $539k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys | Tommy Paul 90% · Quentin Halys 10% | $482k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $426k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $331k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x054f… | OU Gaming | $339.28 |
| alpheclabs2 | OU Gaming | $162.89 |
| foodcritic1 | OU Gaming | $56.30 |
| sportsdirect | OU Gaming | $6.15 |
| 0x56a9… | OU Gaming | $4.41 |
| echotrader | OU Gaming | $3.69 |
| 0xakwz | OU Gaming | $2 |
| 0xf47a… | OU Gaming | $0.89 |
| alpheclabs2 | Weibo Gaming | −$743.15 |
| 7figtc | Weibo Gaming | −$13.20 |
| 0x56a9… | Weibo Gaming | −$8 |
| dd31s | Weibo Gaming | −$7.70 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $576; the 10 biggest losers gave up $789. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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